
According to Mintel's Monthly Economic Tracker: October - US, 2025, "Economists estimate that each week of the government closure is expected to trim approximately 0.1-0.2 percentage points from GDP growth - a drag that will compound as the shutdown continues."
The true economic impact of tariffs, high inflation, and unemployment remains unclear, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are no longer producing the necessary data for analysis. Through regular surveys of households, businesses, and government agencies, the BLS compiles a monthly 'jobs report' that reveals whether the U.S. economy added or shed jobs during that period. The BEA measures Gross Domestic Product (GDP) a comprehensive measure of the U.S. economy and its growth.
In the absence of these data, the Economic Policy Institute, Public Environmental Data Partners, and Federal Reserve Banks are producing indicators and datasets to inform the public, policymakers, and researchers about economic conditions.